Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1430.606388 1641.374181 1880.072207 2171.957606 2521.328231 2928.666505 3443.315376
2025-06-22 1076.979807 1335.870818 1659.039171 2098.028416 2688.105592 3467.501810 4598.333621
2025-06-29 885.731093 1154.820259 1512.641832 2034.228979 2794.120835 3892.219726 5660.390638
2025-07-06 751.903822 1017.652691 1388.375241 1959.141248 2845.627582 4224.331864 6648.884688
2025-07-13 693.157408 971.453492 1377.622725 2036.720791 3126.821626 4952.473971 8471.331122
2025-07-20 634.084794 914.722583 1340.070413 2061.851486 3322.541601 5577.431010 10304.654127
2025-07-27 588.970581 872.137534 1316.342686 2101.965956 3546.516820 6299.210998 12571.634331
2025-08-03 548.703775 831.614178 1289.306180 2129.783691 3750.307970 7028.402937 15127.360239
2025-08-10 522.147154 809.629787 1289.105078 2203.368329 4053.428424 8035.521541 18763.325864
2025-08-17 492.858936 779.594159 1270.797754 2239.339129 4286.718797 8953.129995 22601.399804
2025-08-24 463.847993 746.862686 1243.479090 2252.924397 4474.279071 9816.371318 26729.552123
2025-08-31 437.543224 716.173014 1216.125392 2261.768865 4652.427412 10708.242688 31453.827050
2025-09-07 418.343008 697.410010 1210.839403 2319.991035 4969.776022 12103.268342 38981.255629
2025-09-14 384.565123 649.219612 1144.617938 2239.227992 4936.642327 12522.843390 43189.487323
2025-09-21 355.803864 607.844851 1087.421050 2170.145174 4919.319262 12989.161393 47995.312245
2025-09-28 328.768683 567.524624 1028.397390 2088.894729 4854.496194 13292.947198 52368.482236
2025-10-05 320.498185 562.367309 1039.973493 2172.842392 5257.179642 15285.173036 67141.916503
2025-10-12 307.548654 546.921889 1028.520223 2200.048326 5507.476155 16863.815508 81655.546615
2025-10-19 296.995386 535.314839 1023.932146 2243.487701 5817.789193 18814.748248 101338.447528
2025-10-26 286.129471 522.165525 1014.627518 2273.619931 6096.249066 20784.749867 124553.682983
2025-11-02 279.714022 517.589882 1023.727914 2353.361173 6557.698301 23791.739049 162463.797188
2025-11-09 270.726787 506.912146 1017.958640 2392.359321 6895.119457 26447.521041 204012.848611
2025-11-16 260.715724 493.300152 1004.119476 2407.090939 7153.512641 28889.923135 250610.163988